Compound Betting Calculator

Compound betting calculator: what a rollover or percentage-staking plan really does, with the chance every bet wins, the expected value and the typical bank.

Your plan

Be honest. At evens with a normal bookie margin, a coin-flip punter wins about 48%.

What really happens

If every bet wins–
Chance every bet wins–
That's 1 in–
Expected value of the chain–
Chance you lose the stake–
Average bank after the bets–
Typical (median) bank–
Change for the typical punter–
Win rate you need to break even–

Rollover: return if all win = stake × odds^steps, chance = win rate^steps, expected value = stake × (win rate × odds)^steps. Percentage staking: average = bank × (1 + f(p × odds − 1))^bets; typical (median) = bank × (1 + f(odds − 1))^(wins) × (1 − f)^(losses) with wins = win rate × bets.

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£10 rolled over five times at evens turns into £320. That’s the screenshot that gets shared. The CasinoCalcs compound betting calculator above shows the rest: at a realistic 48% win rate, all five win about 2.5% of the time, and the expected value of the whole chain is £8.15. It’s a free calculator built to show what compounding does to your bank, not to sell you a plan.

Compound betting calculator: the rollover

A rollover is just an accumulator placed one bet at a time. The maths is the same:

Steps at evens If all win Chance (48% each) Expected value of £10
3 £80 11.1% (1 in 9) £8.85
5 £320 2.5% (1 in 39) £8.15
10 £10,240 0.065% (1 in 1,540) £6.65

Every step at 48% knocks 4% off the expected value. Ten steps lose a third of it. The prize grows, but the price of the dream grows faster.

Percentage staking: the slower version

The other kind of compounding stakes a set share of the bank, say 5%, so stakes grow when you win. Switch the calculator to this mode and it shows two numbers. The average bank after 100 evens bets at 48% is £818 from £1,000. The typical bank is lower, £722, because a few lucky runs pull the average up. Most punters end up nearer the median.

With a real edge, percentage staking is the sensible way to grow a bank, and the Kelly criterion calculator finds the best stake size. Without one, it just loses more slowly than a rollover.

Find your real win rate first

Everything here depends on the win rate box. At evens you need more than 50% to break even, and with the bookmaker’s margin most people sit below it. If you’ve kept records, the betting ROI calculator and the luck vs skill calculator tell you whether your edge is real before you compound it.

Chasing a big number with a rollover is how small stakes turn into big losses. BeGambleAware.org is free and confidential if it stops being fun.

Frequently asked questions

What is compound betting?

Reinvesting winnings: either letting the whole return ride on the next bet (a rollover), or staking a fixed percentage of a growing bank. Both make the bank grow faster when you win and shrink faster when you lose.

How much does £10 turn into after five evens winners?

£320. But the chance of five winners in a row at a 48% win rate is about 2.5%, so 39 times in 40 the £10 is gone before the end.

Can compounding turn a losing strategy into a winning one?

No. Compounding multiplies whatever edge you have. If each bet loses money on average, compounding loses it faster.

Why is the typical bank lower than the average?

A few lucky runs drag the average up. Most people end up below it. The median shows what the middle punter actually ends with.

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